Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.109246 0.135604 0.164476 0.198150 0.236057 0.277136 0.324744
2025-03-23 0.075910 0.110386 0.151790 0.203922 0.266601 0.338419 0.425819
2025-03-30 0.049881 0.086508 0.134967 0.200648 0.284420 0.385038 0.512388
2025-04-06 0.033026 0.069407 0.122556 0.199758 0.303468 0.433027 0.602253
2025-04-13 0.022819 0.058492 0.115860 0.204487 0.328847 0.489197 0.703836
2025-04-20 0.016072 0.050678 0.111778 0.211561 0.356897 0.549251 0.811852
2025-04-27 0.011068 0.043886 0.107664 0.217483 0.382960 0.607078 0.918293
2025-05-04 0.006727 0.035977 0.099717 0.216067 0.397767 0.649720 1.005596
2025-05-11 0.004275 0.031071 0.095973 0.220496 0.420718 0.703598 1.108496
2025-05-18 0.002257 0.025303 0.088966 0.218293 0.433025 0.742549 1.191826
2025-05-25 0.000763 0.018413 0.077276 0.206046 0.428478 0.756885 1.241461
2025-06-01 0.000298 0.015447 0.073752 0.207996 0.446005 0.802861 1.334895
2025-06-08 0.000038 0.011558 0.066451 0.201973 0.450557 0.830647 1.404734
2025-06-15 0.000006 0.010732 0.067710 0.213132 0.484069 0.902007 1.536917
2025-06-22 NaN 0.008546 0.063738 0.212897 0.498124 0.944521 1.629061
2025-06-29 NaN 0.006855 0.060557 0.213826 0.513995 0.989936 1.725906
2025-07-06 NaN 0.005918 0.059769 0.219881 0.538943 1.049574 1.843874
2025-07-13 NaN 0.005276 0.059902 0.227970 0.567656 1.115389 1.971448
2025-07-20 NaN 0.004592 0.059460 0.234590 0.593848 1.177678 2.094624
2025-07-27 NaN 0.003476 0.055956 0.233337 0.605490 1.217351 2.185301
2025-08-03 NaN 0.002900 0.054965 0.238135 0.628345 1.274909 2.302685
2025-08-10 NaN 0.002079 0.051429 0.235901 0.637790 1.311260 2.389224
2025-08-17 NaN 0.001090 0.044385 0.223055 0.626160 1.313404 2.424946